Warriors vs. Mavericks prediction, odds, time: 2025 NBA Christmas Day picks from proven model

The Western Conference rivals will meet in the middle of the 2025 NBA Christmas schedule when the Golden State Warriors host the Dallas Mavericks. Dallas is 12-19 on the season and ranks 11th in the Western Conference standings. Golden State is 15-15 and eighth in the West. Kyrie Irving (knee) remains on the Dallas roster long-term, and Klay Thompson (probable knee) and P.J. Washington (questionable leg) are among the Dallas players preparing day-by-day for this holiday game.

Tipoff from the Chase Center in San Francisco will take place at 5:00 pm ET. Golden State is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds, and the over/under is 229.5. Golden State has odds of -341 on the money line (risk $341 to win $100). Before making any picks between the Mavericks and Warriors, Check out NBA projections and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated over $10,000 in revenue. rates profit for players of $100 on its highest rated NBA Pick over the past eight-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2025-26 NBA season with a stunning 30-14 record in top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season. Anyone who follows him NBA betting advice in bookmakers and further betting apps one could see huge profits.

Now the model has simulated Warriors vs Mavericks 10,000 times and just revealed his coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are a few NBA odds And NBA betting lines for Mavs vs. Warriors:

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How to Make Warriors vs. Mavericks Picks

Model SportsLine Less in total (229.5 points). Golden State has had two of its last three games below the total, while Dallas has moved slightly toward that point this season, with 52% of its games falling within that portion of the total. Dallas has several offensive options down, but Anthony Davis, the team's best defender, is healthy for the Christmas roster.

The model scores 227 points combined as the Junior player hits the target more than 50% of the time.

It also generated an against-the-spread pick that hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can head over to SportsLine to see the model's NBA picks..

So who will beat the Warriors against the Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread the tail is coming from, all from a model that brought in more than $10,000 on the highest-rated picks in the NBA.and find out.