Trump’s Gaza plan is a significant step

US President Donald Trump said that his plan to stop the war in Gaza was potentially one of the greatest days in the history of civilization, which could bring an “eternal world in the Middle East”.

Hyperbole was characteristic. Nevertheless, his offer with 20 points, announced in the White House on Monday, when Trump met the Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu, is still a significant diplomatic step – if it does not quite correspond to its exotic excess.

The plan is a shift in the position of the Trump administration in the post -war future for Gaza and adds more pressure than Washington, this year applied to Netanyahu to accept the deal.

Can this become a reality in the coming weeks, will largely depend on the same issues that have always been fundamental: now they do not visit Netanyahu and Hamas’s leadership great benefits in the cessation of the war than in the continuation of it.

Hamas’s answer to this proposal is not yet clear. The pessimistic assessment was carried out from one figure of Hamas, which previously hinted at Bi -Bi, that the terms could not largely protect the interests of the Palestinians, and the group would not accept any plan that did not guarantee the abolition of Israel from Gaza.

Netanyahu, standing next to the President of the United States, said that Israel adopted 20 Trump principles, although the leader in the extreme right flank of his coalition has already rejected some of them.

But the adoption of only Trump's principles is not the same as the end of the war. And although Netanyahu rejects this accusation, his internal opponents say that he has a form to conclude a new transaction if it jeopar of his political survival of the house.

In this sense, this offer may not be enough to get a breakthrough that Trump clearly wants. It still contains significant obstacles to political constituencies of both Israel and Hamas, which can prevent them from concluding a deal.

The plan also has enough ambiguity that any side can accept it when using further negotiations in order to sabotage it, accusing the other side of his failure.

This was a scheme for several months of negotiations. And if this happens, it is clear where the Trump administration will stand – on the side of Israel.

Trump made it clear to Netanyahu, telling him on Monday that if Hamas did not agree with the proposal, he will have “full support of America to do what you need.”

Although Trump presented this as a deal, this is actually the basis for further negotiations – or, as he expressed this at some point, a series of “principles”. This is far from such a detailed plan that must be agreed in order to put an end to the war.

It looks more like “Structure” his predecessor Joe Biden announced in May 2024 To try to get a phased ceasefire and an agreement on the end of the war. In this case, eight months have passed before Israel and Hamas introduced an exchange of truce and hostages and prisoners.

Trump wants “everything in one” deal with a peacekeeper – but this requires significant work to outline detailed Israeli lines of removal of funds, specific details regarding the release of hostages, the personality of the Palestinian prisoners, and specific conditions for post -war management among many other issues.

None of them is described in detail in his plan with 20 points, and all of them can disrupt a peace agreement.

This structure is borrined from previous proposals, including the Saudi plan since July, and the recent work completed Former British Prime Minister Sir Tony Blair, who will sit at the Council of the World, the chairman of the Trump This temporarily observes gas management in accordance with this plan.

This was developed by the Messenger of Trump Steve Witkoff and his son -in -law Jared Kushner after consulting with Israel, European and Arab countries, including the intermediaries of Qatar and Egypt. He calls on to dwell on hostilities, the limited abolition of Israeli forces and Hamas in order to free all the remaining hostages, followed by hundreds of Palestinian prisoners held by Israel.

Then it provides for the creation of a local, technocratic administration in gas to carry out daily services controlled by the “Council of Peace”, which will be based in Egypt.

The remaining members of Hamas, who “commit peaceful coexistence” and are deduced, their weapons will receive an amnesty, while others will be expelled. The international “stabilization” force created by the United States and Arab countries will receive security in gas, ensuring the demilitarization of the Palestinian armed groups.

Palestinian statehood is mentioned, but only in conditions of savory. The plan assumes that if the Palestinian authorities based in Ramallach are reformed, the conditions “can be deserve a reliable path to Palestinian self-determination and statehood.”

Arab countries consider Trump's proposals as a significant breakthrough for them. Partly because they disposed of His February plan “Riviera” in February, which would include forced movement of the PalestiniansField

They also have, at least, a mention of Palestinian statehood, even if there is no commitment to this.

And in terms of the United States, it is said that “Israel will not occupy or attach to the gas application” – although without a similar promise for the occupied West Coast. This is a vital offer for the Arab countries, even if it contradicts another line in the plan, which says that Israel will still maintain its forces in the “perimeter of security” in gas.

On the part of Israel, Netanyahu says that the whole structure corresponds to its goals to stop the war. That is, to see how Hamas is disarmed, gas is demilitarized and the future of the Palestinian state will not be established.

But it is still unclear whether there will be reservations of disarmament and Palestinian statehood are accepted by parts of his government, or he can use this pressure to add or “clarify” the provisions.

Much now depends on the answer from Hamas.

As my colleague Rushdi Abu Aluf wrote earlierThis can be another “yes, but” when Hamas seems to accept sentences, and also calls for clarifications. Thus, the same professional danger enters the game for the White House as for the authors of the previous “framework” and “principles” to end the war.

In another significant moment today, a few minutes before their joint announcement, Trump made Netanyahu apologize to Qatar.

They demanded an apology to Air Jewel aimed at the leading team of Hamas in Doha at the beginning of this monthThe field means that Qatar should now be able to return on board as an intermediary between Israel and Hamas.

A few hours before Trump and Netanyahu met, Israeli shelling and airlines intensified in the city of Gaza, where the IDF unfolded the third armored division. The expansion of the Israeli attack became part of his self -proclaimed plan to try to put pressure on Hamas, but it led to further destruction for civilians.

Most of the rest of the world condemned the actions of Israel. Meanwhile, the commander responsible for Hamas in Gaza, Ez al-Din al-Khaddad, is preparing for the fact that one field commander Hamas called the BBC as a “last decisive battle” with the participation of about 5,000 fighters.

European and Arab countries, led by France and Saudi Arabia, spent summer, trying to resurrect the diplomatic path shocked by the behavior of Israel in the field. This only added to the sense of the international isolation of Israel, since Netanyahu is still the subject of the International Order for the Arrest of the International Criminal Court (MUS) for the alleged war crimes in Gaza.

The Europeans saw that the conflict had gone out of control with extremes on both sides, and they believed that they could turn to the remaining moderate for a decision from two states of the desired long-term general future for Israelis and Palestinians.

And although this is clearly not in this regard, they believed that Trump on board with a moderate offer of gas as a key.

It is assumed that the American structure shifts the impulse to negotiations. But, probably, it will still be required for many weeks or longer than painstaking work to develop it into something close to what Trump says, which can deliver: the full end of the war.