The NFL's Christmas tradition is relatively new, but most fans wouldn't complain about spending another holiday watching football. You can place a Christmas NFL bet with three games on this year's slate: Cowboys vs. Chiefs (+8.5 on DraftKings) at 1:00 pm ET, Lions vs. Vikings (+7.5) at 4:30 pm ET and Chiefs vs. Broncos (-13.5) at 8:15 pm ET. A football parlay can consist of NFL player props, spread predictions, over/under bets, moneyline predictions, or some combination of these. Players to target at any touchdown time include CeeDee Lamb (+115), Jameer Gibbs (-195), Justin Jefferson (+140) and R.J. Harvey (-120).
The Chiefs are used to being favored in double digits over underdogs, but that's their reality as backup quarterback Gardner Minshew is now sidelined with a knee injury a week after Patrick Mahomes did the same. Underdogs with 13 or more points are 1-10 straight-up this season, but have a 7-4 spread. So NFL bets that back the Broncos to win but cover the Chiefs could be two legs of your NFL Christmas bet. Before locking in any NFL Christmas picks or NFL parlay games, be sure to see NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine's proven computer model..
New users can navigate to DraftKings Promo Codewhich offers bonus bets of $200 if your bet wins on players like Lamb as a scorer at any time. Place your bet on DraftKings right here:
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has scoured the Week 17 NFL odds and locked in four confident NFL best bets for Christmas Day. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of well over 9-1. You can only see the model's Christmas NFL parlay picks at SportsLine.
Top Christmas NFL parlay picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is backing the Over (50.5) to hit in Cowboys vs. Commanders at 1 p.m. ET. No team has eclipsed the total quite like Dallas this season as the Over is 11-4 for the team, the best Over percentage in the league. The Cowboys have gone over in each of their last four games, while four of their last five matchups with Washington have also gone over. That includes their Week 7 contest, which was one of the highest-scoring games of the season with 66 total points.
The Commanders have also leaned over this year, as it's gone 5-2 over their last seven games. The Over is also 4-0 when the Commanders are home underdogs in 2025. With both teams out of the playoff picture, there's no reason to play conservatively as the simulations forecast the teams combining for nearly 60 points. Thus, the Over hits well over 60% of the time. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here, and bet the Over at to hit at DraftKings:
How to make Christmas NFL parlays
The model also jumped on three other NFL picks, including a player prop that returns plus money. You can only see the model's Christmas NFL best bets and NFL parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top NFL picks, and which Christmas Day NFL bets should you target for an epic 9-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Christmas NFL best bets from a model on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
