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Typically, the Day of Labor is considered the traditional beginning of the campaign season, but here, in 2023, it marks the end of the competitive phase of two hot special elections. Neither the 1st district of the Congress in the gender, nor the 2nd place in the state of Utah, as expected, will not be very competitive in general elections in November, so the primaries on Tuesday will most likely determine their new representatives. And whoever won has really worked for it; Both primaries did not have a shortage of drama.
Rod -Alend
Races to watch: 1st Congress District
Polls are close: 8 pm on the east
When a member of the House of Representatives David Sicillin Retired at the end of May To become the president of the Rhodialand Foundation, he left behind a rare discovery in the deep-sea area, which was transferred by President Biden 64 percent up to 35 percentAccording to the daily election in KOSD – and ambitious democrats rushed to fill the void. On Tuesday, twelve names participate in the initial vote of the Democratic Party, and the race was so chaotic that at least four of them have a legal shot in victory.
The early favorite was the lieutenant -governor Sabina Matos, whose confession gave her A decent support base (alcohol Only about 20 percent) V Early polls of the raceWhile most other candidates were stuck in unambiguous numbers. But in July, Election officials V Several cities Famous signatures were marked On the nominations of Matos as potentially fraudulent – for example, they were From dead people or living people who said they never signed themMatos still had enough real signatures to make a ballot box, but in the end, 559 out of 1285 signatures that she presented were disqualifiedand the General Prosecutor of the state and state police conduct a criminal investigation about whether fraud has been committed (this It is illegal to prepare signatures.) Matos has accused the seller of the campaign For SPAF, but the scandal may have turned voters against her. In accordance with Internal survey from a competing campaign (So, take it with salt grain), the MATOS net rating for favor among primary democrats fell from +20 percentage points in June to -20 points in mid -August.
Another early rival was businessman Don Carlson, who is largely due to $ 600,000 to his own campaign – raised Most of the money of any candidate in the race As of August 16 (almost $ 970,000). But at the end of August, Local News reported that Carlson Made romantic overtures to the student While a teacher at Williams college. Carlson in the end admitted that the report was trueAnd he I fell out of the race August 27.
After these scandals, two other candidates appeared as possible leaders. Former representative of Aaron Regnberg, who can now be the governor of the Rod -Alend, if 2466 people voted in the other way, could benefit from becoming the most outstanding candidate in the progressive strip. He collected the second largest money (630,000 dollars) after Carlson and Earned approval Senator Bernie Sanders and our revolution.
On the contrary, a former White House employee Gabe AMO is supported by a large number of democrats. He has He worked as an assistant Biden, former President Barack Obama, former Governor Rod -Alend Gina Raymondo and Senator Sheldon Whitehaus, and his connections helped him raise more than 604,000 dollarsField a Son of immigrants from West AfricanHe was also approved by the hand of the campaign Black Assembly of CongressField
The only public survey of the race conducted in the last six weeks is the aforementioned internal survey, which was paid by the Amo campaign. He showed a regenberg at 28 percent, and AMO – 19 percent, and Matos lagged behind 11 percent. AMO used a survey to claim that he is the main competition of Regenberg at the moment, but so far do not consider Matos. She still has Valuable approval from Emily listAnd she backstory as a Dominican immigrant can resonate with the district Growing Latin American populationField
On the other hand, another candidate for Latin was Make waves in the last weeks of races: Senator Sandra Cano, who plays sports Dozens of approval Of the outstanding political politicians of the gang from all over the political spectrum. Kano also took 11 percent in the AMO internal survey, and this was before Carlson left the race – and approved Cano. Not all 8 percent support of Carlson in the survey will enter Cano (the name of Carlson will remain on the ballot ballot), but do not be surprised to see how she appears as the biggest threat of Regenberg. It should be noted that Kano, Matos or AMO would be the first color face representing the Home -Alend in Congress if they prevail in Tuesday and in a general election on November 7th.
Utah
Races to watch: 2nd Congress District
Polls are close: 10 o’clock in the evening in East
Approximately at a time when Chitsillin resigned his place in the gender, Republican member of the House of Representatives Chris Stuart from the 2nd District of the Utah Congress announced his intention to resign Effectively September 15th. Solid red place – former President Donald Trump carried him 17 points in 2020 – Attracted 13 applicants for the Republican PartyBut from the requirements for the Utah Convention and the signature requirements to create primary work, only three Republicans will fight in today's primary elections.
Former member of the House of Representatives of Bekka Edwards and the former Republican National Committee Bruce Haf, probably began as better organizations than Celeste Maloia, the main legal adviser of Stuart, but the race can be someone's game in the ball. Edwards rose in 2022, when she challenged the Senator -Republican Mike Lee To the left of the primary republican party like an alternative to Trump, Having won 30 percent of the voteHouth field – a long -standing Bigwig in the State Party – he earlier served as chairman of the Republican Party of Utah – And his family gained fame through two of his children, Derek and Julianna, which has become famous He dances with the stars on the television show. But small, who Has the approval of Stuartwon Party Convention June 24 To collect The place is mainly voting balloonan indication of her potential appeal to the conservatives as delegates of the Utah Republican Party Convention tend to be more right than the main electorate as a whole. Edwards and Haf Everyone gathered enough Signatures To get the right to primary Despite the fact that he was eliminated at the Convention.
Limited numbers of surveys and collecting funds suggest that Edwards has a potential advantage. Edwards headed A survey of early August From Dan Jones & Associates/Deseret News/Hinkley Policy Institute with 32 percent, while Khaf and Malaya returned 11 percent and 9 percent, respectively. But about a half voters were not decided, the survey may have talked more about the advantage of the recognition of the name of Edwards than its final percentage of votes in this race. She also got up the largest amount of money from individual participants, choosing 368,000 US dollars compared to Maloy's $ 250,000 And Houth $ 202 000As of August 16. In addition, Edwards borrowed her campaign of $ 300,000, which allowed her to install Houth in the total fundraising (he lent to herself about $ 335,000). She entered the home site of the campaign with $ 228,000 in a bank, about two and a half times more than each HAF and Malaya.
But Ideological units In this race, it can give opportunities for Malaya or Haf, Edwards, Edwards, who clearly occupies a moderate stripField in the end, Edwards voted for Biden in 2020 she said in recent debate that she regretted her vote – And worked to make a decision Recognition of climate change In 2018The field meanwhile, small and huh Both criticized Trump's accusations how politically motivated and take up firmly against abortionAlthough Malaya said that he would potentially vote for a federal ban, while Khaf said that he should be left in the States. Hao He also argued The fact that he will be the most reliable republican in the race, because he voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020, which is pumping out on the vote of Edwards Biden and a shot in Malaya for not voting in 2020 or 2022.
And, as in the primary sections of the gender, this race also has its own Own voice dramaThe field after Malaya won the Republican Party convention, it was revealed that it was impossible to vote in the last two elections in the state forced officials of the Utah polling stations to mark it as an inactive voter and begin the process of removing it from the voting lists. In fact, small only three days updated her registration of voters in the state of Utah. after She submitted her candidacy. She claimed that since she moved to Virginia, working at Stuart on the Capitol Hill, she did not want to release potentially fraudulent vote in the last two elections. Nevertheless, this revelation prompted one of the excluded republican candidates at the congress Send to the court for the removal of Malyuya From the vote. But The state court denied this requestand republican lieutenant Governor Deidre Henderson, chief director of the state, said Malaya correctly filed for the positionThe field of the State Republican Party also lacked what kind of mechanism in accordance with the rules of the parties to cancel the victory in the Malaya Convention, announced Salt -Like -ThirteEven when her authority fell under close attention.
Despite her troubles, Malaya may have a chance to win, partly thanks to the geographical units of the place. A Massive 2nd District Runes from Salt -Lail -City in the north to St. George in the south -west corner of the state. But Edwards and Ho -Ha -He were from Northern Utah, while Small comes from the south. Theoretically, Edwards and Khaf could share most of the northern vote while the small Support on the contrary on her home lawn In the more rural southThe field as we saw in many other primary elections, oversized support from the candidate “Friends and neighbors“It can change all meaning in obtaining a simple set in order to win the nomination. Moreover, the southern part of the district can make a greater contribution to the initial vote as The small majority of Trump's votes 2020 in the area came from the south of the front Vasatch, Line of the northern metropolitan districts It ends in Utah district. And until he approved popular Republican governor Spencer Cox said that He liked the idea To have someone from South Utah representing the state in Congress. HAF can also have its own geographical challenge as He lives in the park -Citywhich is located to the east of the 2nd district.
The winner of today's primary performance will meet with the Senator of the Democratic State Katlin Ribe in the general election on November 21, which can send the primary winner of the Republican Party to Congress.
