Democrats are faced with a growing concern in New Jersey, since the state governor's race is pulling up, and new data show that the Republicans receive an early advantage in voting by mail before the November elections.
Updated figures this week indicate that the republican return return for the first time surpassed the Democrats in the 2025 cycle, reflecting the shift, which increased the challenges for the campaign of the Mika House of Mika Sherrill against the former state legislator Jack Chiattarelli.
According to For the election analyst Michael Pruzer, 18.6 percent of all of the above ballots by mail still belong to republican voters, compared with 16.6 percent of the Democrats and 9.3 percent of other parties. Republicans now keep leadership with two points according to estimates, and voting by mail by six points more of the Republicans than at the same point in 2024, when the Democrats headed an early account. In general, the democrats are still the majority of the ballots sent by mail, about 62.3 percent, but the higher level of return of the Republicans marks a noticeable change from past trends.
Developments become axes reported These national democrats were more and more alarmed in the occasion of the grill campaign, describing the growing concern that the party could lose the governor’s race in a traditionally democratic state. Several party strategists informed Axios that Sherrill's operation suffered from a series of stones and an obscure message, despite heavy investments from national groups.
Some Democrats told Axios that Sherrill, a former Navy pilot and four -year -old member of the Congress, is a “the best candidate on paper than in reality.” They said that she was too scenarios, was not enough focused on high prices and relied too much on the staff from Washington, and not on operatives from New Jersey. The Democrat Strategist Iren Lin, who does not work on the race, noticed that Sherrill “spent a fortune on the polling stations and has no message, besides the fact that it flies on helicopters, and Chiarelli loves Trump”, warning that “tired attacks against Trump are not enough”.
The Axios report also describes the disappointment of the internal batch after Sherrill was criticizing her addressing personal finances and promotions. In a May interview with a radio host with Charlamangne Tha God, she looked unclear when he was asked about the wealth of her family and whether she made $ 7 million on promotions, as stated in the conservative media, answering: “I, I do not … I do not believe that she did it, before saying that she would have to check the source of the claim. This incident attracted the resumption of attention when the Ciattarelli campaign launched a website called Mikiemademillions.com Emphasizing the exchange.
Another problem appeared when Sherrill struggled to name a specific legislative act, which she priority priority in the case of a chosen governor during an interview with CBS New York, which Ciattarelli campaign, which later used in advertising, depicting it as unprepared. Pro-Ciattarelli Super Pac also released an advertisement involving Sherrill, which says that pure energy “would cost you hands and legs, but if you are a good person, you will do it.” Axis explained that Sherrill criticized at that time the exchange of messages of her party, and did not advocate higher costs.
The representative of the Association of Republican Governors, which supports the group standing behind the advertisement, refused to directly turn to the conclusion of the grill from the context and instead issued a statement criticizing its energy record. Sherrill's campaign replied that she focused on reducing the costs for New Jersey families from the very beginning of her campaign, citing her strong main work and stable leadership in the survey. The campaign manager Alex Bolle told Axios that the emphasis of Sherrill on accessibility “was her message from the first day” and added that she did not own or exchange individual shares.
Meanwhile, Ciattarelli activated propaganda activities because of the voters of the working class and minorities, and the axios noted that the Democrats are concerned about his efforts to penetrate black communities, which usually vote in the vast majority of their part. Both candidates will air advertising oriented to high utilities, while Ciattarelli promised tax benefits and energy reforms, while Sherrill emphasized pure power and economic competitiveness.
The survey has Shown The race is effectively connected. The Emerson, PIX11 college and Hill survey, conducted from September 22 to 23, 23, found both candidates for 43 percent of support with 11 percent of voters were not determined. The result reflected similar results since the end of September and emphasized how competitive the competition in the President of Joe Biden, won by two -digit numbers in 2020, became the competitive.
The tight race follows the weeks of debate about the last background of the Sherrill at the Military -Mother -Treasury Academy of the United States, where it was forbidden From a walk on her graduation in 1994 after refusing to identify classmates involved in the scandal with fraud. Her campaign claimed that the episode was distorted by political opponents, protecting her decade of military service. Questions too appeared As for the receipt of her two children to the Military Academy, although the Sherrill campaign stated that they applied through the Senators of the United States of New Jersey in order to avoid some kind of conflict of interest.
Ciattarelli has capitalized On these disputes, creating them as part of a wider question about transparency and accountability. He also benefited from growing republican enthusiasm, with the support of approval From the former democrats and organized leaders of the Labor, they are unhappy with the leadership of the state under the leadership of the Democrats. Republican candidate, Approved President Donald Trump concentrated His reports on the reduction of taxes, support of law enforcement agencies and solving economic problems throughout the state.
The organizers at the bottom level emphasized the significance of the voter turnout as a decisive factor. Scott Preslair from early voting said Breitbart News on Saturday That the race is “winning” for the Republicans, but will depend on maximizing both the early and at the day of the elections. The Presler emphasized that the 2021 competition was determined only 84,000 votes, despite the fact that hundreds of thousands of republicans remained at home, urging voters to take advantage of early voting and mail options to avoid potential complications on the day of choice.
