Computer model locks in Lions vs. Bears picks, score prediction

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The NFC North was owned by the Detroit Lions for the last two years, but the Chicago Bears captured the crown in 2025 under first-year head coach and former Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. He has the Bears at 11-5 entering their Week 18 matchup with Detroit, and a win would move Chicago into second place in the NFC and secure a third matchup with the Green Bay Packers, this time in the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend. The Lions were eliminated from playoff contention last week, but Dan Campbell has a story about Detroit being willing to play spoiler in the final week of the season.

Kickoff at Soldier Field is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. The Bears are 4.5-point favorites in the latest Lions vs. Bears odds at DraftKingsand the sum is 51.5. Before you make your own Bears vs Lions pick, be sure to take a look at the top. NFL Pick from the SportsLine projection model, which models everything NFL game 10,000 times.

Where to watch Lions vs. Bears on Sunday

When: Sunday, January 4
Time: 4:25 pm ET
TV: FOX
Broadcast: Fubo
Follow the instructions: CBS Sports App

Preview of Lions vs Bears bets

Chances: Bears -4.5, over/under 51.5

Detroit dominated the previous matchup 52-21 back in Week 2, but the Bears have heated up since then and the Lions need a win to finish the season over .500. The Bears are 10-5-1 against the spread this season, while the Lions are 7-9 against the spread. The Lions are 10-6 against the over this year, while the Bears are 8-8 against the over.

Lions vs Bears SGP

  • Leos +4.5
  • More than 51.5
  • Lions +3.5 spread in the first half

Place your bet on DraftKings:

Forecast for Model's Lions vs. Bears, elections

The SportsLine model favors Detroit here, as the Lions cover 51% of their simulations and win 47% of the time. The model also expects this NFC North clash to be a high-scoring matchup, with scores over 50.5 coming from nearly 60% of the sims.

Lions vs. Bears score prediction: Bears 28, Lions 27

Want more NFL picks in Week 18?

Have you seen the model's best bets on the Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears? Now, get spread, total and moneyline data for every Week 18 NFL game hereall from a model that was simulated every game 10,000 times.

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