Calgarians largely undecided and considering multiple candidates in mayor race: poll

With just under two weeks until Election Day, Calgarians are still unsure who to vote for as several candidates are up for consideration.

According to a new survey by Janet Brown Opinion Research, 34 per cent of Calgarians consider themselves undecided.

Brown's poll shows Jeromy Farkas leading with 27 percent.

Incumbent Jyoti Gondek and Communities First Party candidate Sonya Sharp have combined support of 23 per cent, followed by Geoff Davison with 16 per cent and Calgary Party mayoral candidate Brian Thiessen with eight per cent.

“This election is anyone’s game, and it’s too close to vote,” Brown told Global News on Friday.

Just 6.1 per cent of eligible voters, an unofficial 54,626 people in Calgary, cast ballots in the provisional poll from Monday to Thursday.

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Despite the low turnout, there is a lot of hype surrounding the race.

“I think it's going to be a very close race and I'm curious to see how it plays out,” Jim Dansereau said after Friday's vote.

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“I don’t think there’s a clear favorite,” Jim Mackey told Global News outside the Beltline pre-election polling place.

“Though name recognition seems to lag behind policy.”

Mackey said it took “some time” to decide who he would vote for in the narrowing race for mayor.

“I weigh the possibility of who I want to vote for and win, and I vote strategically,” he said.

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Brown's research also examined potential shifts in support between the top mayoral contenders.

“We didn’t just ask who they were going to vote for, we asked who they were considering,” Brown said. “And many Calgarians have more than one candidate on their consideration list, even this late in the process.”

Venn diagram showing the intersection of support between candidates in the Calgary mayoral election.

Courtesy: Janet Brown Public Opinion Research

Brown crunched the numbers and created a Venn diagram to show the intersection of support between the candidates vying to become Calgary's next mayor.

The degree of overlap is an indication of how much of a potential swing in the vote could occur in the final days of the campaign as Farkas splits the most support among his opponents, Brown said.

“He has the most to gain or the most to lose if there is a vote change at this point in the campaign,” Brown said.

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Venn diagram showing the intersection of support positions in the Edmonton mayoral race.

Courtesy: Janet Brown Public Opinion Research

Compared to the Edmonton mayoral race, where Brown's poll shows 46 per cent of voters still undecided, support for each candidate is more concrete than in Calgary.

“People who have made a decision are more determined,” Brown said. “They seem less interested in considering other candidates.”

This marks a crucial final stage in the battle to win campaign support and voter acceptance.

Advance voting closes on October 11 at 7:00 p.m., with Election Day set for October 20.

1,000 Calgary residents were surveyed using Trend Research's online panel between October 1 and October 8, 2025, led by Janet Brown Opinion Research. Quotas were set by age, gender and city quadrant. Minimum weighting was applied to match Statistics Canada population data. For online non-probability surveys, no margin of error is applied. However, the margin of error for a comparable probability sample would be +/- 3.1 percentage points 19 out of 20 times.


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