Boise State vs. UNLV odds: 2025 Mountain West Championship Game picks by model

For the third year in a row, the Mountain West Championship Game features Boise State Broncos against UNLV Rebels on Friday. Boise State (8-4, 6-2 Mountain West) won the first two and is looking for an unprecedented trifecta of victories at the 2025 Mountain West Championship, which will be played in its home stadium. UNLV (10-2, 6-2 Mountain West) is seeking its first MWC title and second overall conference championship. The Broncos won 56-31 when the teams met in Boise in mid-October.

Kickoff will take place at 8:00 pm ET at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The Broncos have won each of their last 10 games. The latest UNLV vs. Boise State odds have the Broncos favored by 4.5 points, and the over/under for total points is 58.5. Before making any choice between Boise State and UNLV, Check out the college football predictions with SportsLine's projection model.

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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times and has been profitable with the highest moneyline and over/under picks since the start of the 2024 season. Anyone who follows him American football betting poking around in bookmakers and further betting sites could see strong profits.

Now the model has set its sights on UNLV vs. Boise State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the selection. Here's the FBS college football chances and trends at Boise State compared to UNLV:

How to choose between Boise State and UNLV

The SportsLine model has simulated UNLV and Boise State 10,000 times and the total score exceeds 58.5. In the October meeting between these teams, the scoreboard was 87 points, and Boise's 56 points were a season high. The game featured over 1,000 yards of offense and 21 plays of 20-plus yards. Don't expect any less performance in Friday's title game at the same stadium, where the over is 5-1 in the Broncos' favor this season.

Meanwhile, UNLV has averaged 65.3 points per game this year and the Rebels rank 12th in the country in scoring offense but 89th in scoring defense. The model projects that eight different players will gain over 50 yards from scrimmage, while their respective quarterbacks will combine for over 500 yards of total offense. Another high-scoring event is expected as the advanced model predicts the total score for this competition to be 66. According to the model's simulations, the Over hits more than 60% of the time.

The model also says that one side of the spread reaches more than 50% of the time. Select only at SportsLine..

So who will win UNLV vs. Boise State, and which side of the spread lands more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Boise State vs. UNLV is worth moving on, all thanks to an advanced model that's profitable on its highest moneyline and over/under picks since the start of the 2024 season.and find out.