The No. 1 team in our ranking lost for the second time in three weeks. Rams fall on Panthers in Carolina. Last week, Colts betrayed our faith with a disgusting game against Managerswho was number 1 the previous week before losing Broncos. Teams' losing cycle #1 speaks volumes about how open this season has been for the team. NFLwith the No. 1 seeds held by two teams that combined to go 9-25 last year.
AFK, in particular, is experiencing an inverted situation with PatriotsBroncos and Jaguars at the top and potentially have three AFC South teams in the postseason while typical stalwarts like the Chiefs Crows And Accounts are fighting for their lives and by December they only have one winning record.
There will be key matchups in several divisional races this week. Steelers at the Ravens, Bears V Packers and the Colts at Jaguar. Indy's final match will look to overcome key injuries on both sides of the ball as Daniel Jones plays through a reported fibula fracture while Gardner sauce is recovering from a calf injury sustained on Sunday. The Jaguars have their key players dealing with injuries, including left tackle. Walker Littlebut given the game in Jacksonville and the state of the Colts, I see Liam Cohen leading his team to victory to give the Jaguars control of the division race.
I'll have a few more picks this week on SportsLine, where members can access all of my picks throughout the week as they're made and hopefully take advantage of a good line.
Let's dive into our betting power rankings and highlight a few more noteworthy teams.
Week 14 Power Rating
| LAR | 6 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
| SEA | 6 | 6 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
| KS | 5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 7 | 7 |
| BUF | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| GB | 4.5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| FI | 4 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 5 |
| NO | 4 | 3.5 | 4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| THAT | 3.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 5.5 |
| IND | 2.5 | 5 | 6 | 5.5 | 5 |
| BALL | 2.5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| DAL | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 |
| Compulsory medical insurance | 2 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1 |
| THIS | 1.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| NEW | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| San Francisco | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| J.A.C. | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2 | -1.5 |
| tuberculosis | 0 | -3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| LAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 |
| KIN | 0 | -1.5 | -5.5 | -5 | -5 |
| PIT | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1 | 0 |
| ARI | -2.5 | -3 | -2.5 | -2 | -1 |
| CAR | -2.5 | -4.5 | -3.5 | -4 | -3.5 |
| WAS | -2.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -3.5 |
| ATL | -3 | -3 | -5 | -1 | 0 |
| Ministry of Internal Affairs | -3.5 | -4 | -4 | -4.5 | -5 |
| New York | -4 | -2.5 | -3 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| MIN | -6 | -3 | -2 | 0 | -1 |
| CLE | -6 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| NO | -7 | -6.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 | -6.5 |
| LW | -7 | -6 | -5.5 | -4 | -3.5 |
| NYJ | -7.5 | -7.5 | -9 | -7.5 | -6.5 |
| TEN | -9 | -8.5 | -9 | -8 | -8 |
Last week the Rams were the clear number one, but now I've moved them down to match the Rams. Seahawks. These are the teams I have the least questions about, although Seattle seems more likely to fall apart in a big place thanks to Sam Darnolds story. Even though he did so against the Rams, Seattle's defense kept the team in the game and ultimately lost by just two points. I'd love to see these two teams in the NFC Championship, although it would be a tough road for whoever doesn't win the division.
I'm downgrading the Chiefs a bit due to their offensive line injuries, but I don't have a team good enough to take the third spot away from them. The Bills pulled off an impressive win based on their play, but they need to get better before I can trust them in the big game. The Packers can beat anyone and lose to anyone. Eagles, LionsThe Ravens and Colts are losing and don't seem to deserve to be considered a top three team at this point.
The Patriots, Broncos and Bears continue to win, and if you just look at what the teams have done to this point, they probably deserve a top-three spot, but the playoffs will be a different game. Most of all I bought on Patriots with Drake Maye playing at a higher level than perhaps anyone in football. I now have the Patriots tied for sixth place with the Eagles as I would have a hard time picking a winner between these teams on a neutral field, but you can make a case for them finishing third as well.
Cowboys look more and more dangerous after back-to-back wins over last year's Super Bowl commands and they can get Trevon Diggs returned for Thursday's game against the Lions. If they win this game as well, they will officially become “the team no one wants to play in the playoffs.”
I have a group of six teams that I don't want to play under any circumstances unless they play each other. Giants are also making a case for being in this group after a sloppy loss to the Patriots. Special teams caused a 13-point difference in this game between a punt return, a fumble on a kickoff and something else. Yangho Koo what he did on that field goal attempt.
Full week 14 forecast lines
| DAL | THAT | -6 | -3 | -2.5 | My line is missing St. Brown. |
| IND | J.A.C. | +3 | +1.5 | 0 | |
| KIN | BUF | -7 | -5.5 | -7 | |
| Ministry of Internal Affairs | NYJ | +3 | +2.5 | +2 | |
| NO | tuberculosis | -8.5 | -8.5 | -7.5 | |
| PIT | BALL | -6.5 | -6 | -6 | |
| TEN | CLE | -3.5 | -4 | -5.5 | |
| SEA | ATL | +7.5 | +7.5 | +7 | |
| WAS | MIN | -2.5 | -1 | +1.5 | My line is +2.5 with Daniels. |
| THIS | LW | +8 | +7.5 | +7 | |
| Compulsory medical insurance | GB | -6.5 | -6.5 | -4.5 | |
| LAR | ARI | +8.5 | +8.5 | +6.5 | |
| NEW | KS | -5.5 | -3.5 | -5 | KC OT issues may change |
| FI | LAC | +2.5 | +2.5 | +3 | My line is +6.5 with Lance. |
This is how I would set up each game based on my power ratings and home field advantage data for that week. The large discrepancy between the projected rating power lines and the market lines does not make the play an automatic play, but it does give us the basis for potential strong picks pending further analysis.
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