College football picks: Early score predictions, odds for biggest Week 14 games

Last week college football The regular season is here, and after Thanksgiving it will bring a two-day celebration of rivalries.

Not only will we see contenders battle it out across the country, but most conference title bids are still open with plenty to sort out in the future. College Football Playoff Rankings. Last week we provided a little teaser of what this weekend will be like for many teams. Georgia Tech are facing a scenario we'll see across the country where all they need is a win over Pitt to earn a ticket to the ACC title game. Instead, they were crushed at home by the Panthers, who jumped out to an early lead and held on for dear life until the end.

Adding to the drama this week is the fact that many of these teams will be trying to lock up playoff and conference title berths in rivalry games that already tend to get tight and tight, even without any extra stakes.

We'll find out which teams can handle the pressure and calm their nerves to secure a spot in the college football postseason, and which teams won't be able to seize the moment and leave their fate in the hands of others.

I may be mistakenly optimistic that there will be some tension throughout this weekend. Rivalry week tends to bring out the best in opponents, and the power of spite and hatred as an elite motivator for college football teams should never be underestimated. As many teams need this week to extend their season into the playoffs, there are just as many who will treat this weekend as their Super Bowl and empty the tank to try to ruin their opponents' season.

NOTE. Rankings are taken from the previous week's CFP Top 25 list.

CBS Sports 136: Miami, Michigan and Oklahoma make moves in college football rankings

Chip Patterson

The Egg Bowl doesn't need any extra intrigue to be weird, but this year it features plenty of storylines beyond one of the most intense rivalries in college football. Lane Kiffin is about to make a decision about his future. LSU Preparation massive offer to bring him to Baton Rougeand all he and the Rebels need to lock up a spot in the College Football Playoff is a win in Starkville.

Starkville has been a tough team to play in all season, and the Bulldogs should have no problem getting excited about sending Kiffin, who could potentially head to Baton Rouge after losing in the Egg Bowl. This should be a promising development as the Bulldogs have allowed over 40 points in each of the last two games, but I expect the Bulldogs to be completely locked in and empty the game book to try and keep up.

My question for the Rebels is if there is any division in this locker room. Trinidad Chambliss tweeted that Ole Miss isn't worried about the future and is completely focused on the “1-0 mindset,” but that's easier to say when you're one of the guys who can easily follow Lane into the transfer portal wherever he goes. Not everyone is on this list, and I wonder if all the attention this week will be on the Bulldogs.

Considering how Kiffin's tenure ended elsewhere, it seems fitting that his time at Ole Miss ends on a sour note, so I'll go with the Bulldogs to win thanks to a two-point conversion in overtime. PICK: Mississippi State 39-38 over Ole Miss

No. 4 Georgia at No. 16 Georgia Tech

The rivalry game that produced an OT thriller last year was Clean, Old Fashioned Hate, but I do not think we are in for a repeat in 2025. 

Georgia is rolling right now and their offense has hit its stride over the past month-plus. That's bad news for a Yellow Jackets defense that has been carved up by just about everyone over the last month, including Pitt last week in that win-and-in situation at home. Haynes King has not been at his best of late and he'll have to go up against a Georgia defense that has also come to life in recent weeks. 

I fear Georgia Tech might've used up its magic early in the season, and Friday will see their regular season come to an end with a thud. The Dawgs roll in Atlanta. PICK: Georgia 41-19 over Georgia Tech

The Aggies escaped disaster two weeks ago with a sensational comeback win over South Carolina that all but locked up their spot in the playoff, but they still need a win in Austin to secure a berth in the SEC Championship Game. 

That will be a difficult task against a Texas team that has been significantly better at home than on the road. If this were in College Station, the line certainly wouldn't be 2.5 and I wouldn't even consider the Longhorns. However, as we often see with good but not great college teams, Texas is a much more dangerous opponent at home. 

Arch Manning has looked much more comfortable and has made far fewer mistakes in Austin, which is important against an A&M defense that will give up points. Texas' defense has also been susceptible, and as such I expect a shootout to develop in the 2025 edition of the rivalry. 

This is one of those situations where the Aggies should win. They're the better team and have been far more consistent in bringing their best this season. However, this'll be a Super Bowl performance from a Texas team that would love nothing more than spoiling the Aggies' perfect record. On top of that, a Texas win would create the most drama going into the final CFP Rankings reveal. A 9-3 Texas team that just beat the undefeated No. 3 team in the country? The debates would be incredible. PICK: Texas 31-27 over Texas A&M

It is going to be 31 degrees and snowy in the Big House on Saturday afternoon and I legitimately cannot wait to watch this game. 

Ohio State has been unbelievable all season. The defense is spectacular and they haven't been truly pushed by a team since the opener against Texas — and even then, they were in control of that one all game. Now they face a Michigan team that has brought out the worst in Ryan Day and the Buckeyes in recent years. 

Last year's game was the ultimate example of this, as Day was insistent on trying to out-physical the Wolverines, which has only served to play into Michigan's favor. This year's Ohio State team seems perfectly built to avoid that trap this year — they are fantastic passing it with an embarrassment of riches at receiver and have been mediocre running it — but the weather will give Day pause at opening it up. 

If the Buckeyes aren't comfortable throwing it downfield in the snow, things start shifting into Michigan's favor. I think we might be headed for another defensive slugfest, but this time the Buckeyes come out on top, but just barely. PICK: Ohio State 20-17 over Michigan

No. 13 Miami at Pittsburgh

Alright, Miami. An at-large bid could certainly be on the table, all you have to do is go to Pittsburgh and win on the road.

The Hurricanes finally passed a road test outside the state of Florida last week with a very solid win over Virginia Tech. Now, things will get even tougher at Pitt where the weather is supposed to be in the low 30s (but no snow) and the boys from sunny South Florida will have to prove they can handle the elements. 

Miami's offense has been humming of late, and there will be opportunities to hit big plays on this Pitt defense. That said, the Panthers thrive on creating chaos and Carson Beck has been known to offer up some interception-worthy passes in the past. On the other side, Mason Heintschel has been balling (aside from the Notre Dame stinker) and the Pitt passing game will be the biggest test Miami's faced since the SMU game. 

As I said last week when picking Pitt over Georgia Tech, when it comes to the ACC, always go with the outcome that is the worst thing for the conference. That's Miami losing and ruining any chance at an at-large bid for the ACC. PICK: Pitt 30-27 over Miami

Oklahoma, all you have to do to lock up a playoff spot is beat an LSU team that could barely get past Western Kentucky last week. What could possibly go wrong?

I was wrong last week calling for a Mizzou win, and I'm now buying in on this Oklahoma team being the SEC's answer to Iowa. Brent Venables built the whole plane out of a nasty defense, making big plays on special teams and doing just enough offensively to win close games. It's not pretty and they rarely win big, but I just don't see how this LSU offense produces enough points to hang with the Sooners. 

The nightmare scenario here for the SEC is an LSU win, as that likely takes Oklahoma out of the playoff, but I think we're going to find out exactly how far a dominant defense can carry a team in the CFP. PICK: Oklahoma 17-9 over LSU

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The Ducks just picked up a huge win over USC and a lot of folks believe that's enough to lock up a playoff spot.

Dan Lanning had some fun swiping at the SEC's scheduling practices for the week before rivalry week, and now he's gotta take the Ducks out to Seattle to face a Washington squad that's been a buzzsaw at home. The Huskies' offense has been cooking at home all season, scoring 38+ points in every home game aside from the Ohio State game. 

The Ducks will present the stiffest test they've seen since the Buckeyes rolled into Seattle, but I expect a better performance from an offense that's looked fantastic lately (aside from a trip to Wisconsin). The Ducks, meanwhile, put a lot into last week's game with USC and were quite impressive, but they've not been as crisp in their offensive execution on the road against quality opponents this season, even with wins over Iowa and Penn State. 

It'd make things very interesting in the playoff rankings if Oregon dropped this one, and I think the Huskies can create some tension for their rivals over the next week by pulling off the upset. PICK: Washington 27-24 over Oregon

Tennessee's defense is going to be the story of this game. Against quality opponents, the Vols haven't been able to get any stops when they've needed them. Georgia, Alabama and Oklahoma all had their way offensively, with two of those games being in Knoxville.

Now they have to deal with Diego Pavia and a Vandy offense that has shaken out of a midseason funk and is looking for one more statement win to create some interesting debates in the rankings if they can get to 10-2. I have little doubt that Joey Aguilar and the Volunteers will get the ball in the end zone on offense, but nothing they've done against ranked opponents this season tells me this Tennessee defense will be able to slow down Pavia and company. PICK: Vanderbilt 41-35 over Tennessee

Virginia Tech at No. 19 Virginia

Virginia has beaten Virginia Tech twice this century, and now the Hokies are the only thing standing in their way of a trip to Charlotte for the ACC title game. 

The Hokies battled but were outclassed last week by Miami, but Virginia will feel like a team much closer to their weight class. I think this is a tense, sloppy football game in the way so many rivalry games are. I think both offenses will be able to put up yards, but I could also see both stalling out multiple times in the red zone and having some brutal turnovers. 

Ultimately, I'll take the Cavaluers to win and punch their ticket to Charlotte, in part because I think that's something the ACC would rather not have happen, and as stated before, always go with the outcome that's worst for the ACC as a conference. PICK: Virginia 24-23 over Virginia Tech

No. 10 Alabama at Auburn

All Alabama has to do to lock up a playoff spot is to beat Auburn on The Plains. What could possibly go wrong? 

History tells us a whole lot, and Auburn's looked like a team that's refocused and finally enjoying playing football again after the firing of Hugh Freeze. Things get weird at Jordan-Hare Stadium in the Iron Bowl and Ty Simpson and this Alabama offense have not been as crisp when they've had to take their show on the road. 

I think this could follow a similar script to the Oklahoma game, which would drive Alabama fans insane. A loss at Auburn would bring all the Kalen DeBoer doubters back to the surface once again, a fitting bookend with the FSU loss to open the year. And all may be forgiven on The Plains for a miserable season if the Tigers can upset the Tide as short dogs at home. PICK: Auburn 22-20 over Alabama

SMU also just has to go on the road and get a win to make it to Charlotte and back-to-back ACC title games in their first two years in the conference. 

Everything points to the Mustangs winning this thing big (which is why they're two-touchdown favorites) but this is a tough trip to make at the very end of the season against a Cal team that's been a Jekyll-and-Hyde bunch all year. 

Cal just fired its coach after a horrific loss to rival Stanford last week, but while this isn't a rivalry game, it's a chance to play spoiler. As such, I think SMU is going to get Cal's best shot, but I'm just not sure Cal has the horses to keep up here. Kevin Jennings has been awesome and as long as he can stay healthy, I like the Mustangs to win a bit of a wild one in Berkeley. PICK: SMU 37-30 over Cal 

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