Why the US government might shut down and what to know

Financing for the US government will be reduced at the end of Tuesday if the Republican Party of President Donald Trump cannot agree with opposition democrats on the way to the expenses.

This can lead to a temporary stop of some, but not all – US government services.

Although budget confrontations are widespread in US policy, this specific struggle for expenses is especially tense, given that Trump spent the last nine months, sharply reducing the size of the federal government.

Simply put: any shutdown will be the result of the inability of the two parties to get together and adopt a bill on financing public services in October and further.

Republicans control both chambers of the Congress, but in the Senate – or the upper house – they lack 60 votes that they need to adopt the costs of expenses.

Therefore, the Democrats have some lever in this case. They refuse to support the bill introduced by the Republicans, which, according to them, will make the Americans more difficult to afford healthcare, and made this confrontation primarily about achieving their goals in the field of health policy.

They call for the extension of tax benefits that make medical insurance cheaper for millions of Americans – the duration expires – and for the transfer of Medicaid reductions, which were made by Trump. They also oppose the proposed reductions in the costs of combating diseases and the National Institute of Health.

The draft law on the stop was adopted earlier in the ward or in the lower house, but the Senate has not yet been cleaned.

If the deal is not concluded, at 00:01 EDT on Wednesday (05:01 BST), the United States will have the first shutdown in almost seven years.

The last time the government closed at the end of 2018, during the first period of Trump. Both sides make the last efforts trying to avoid repetition.

For the first time after his return to the White House, Trump will meet with all four leaders of Congress on Monday, which means the best democrats in the ward and the Senate, as well as their republican colleagues.

But Trump weakened the expectations of the deal by informing the American news BBC CBS CBS: “I just don’t know how we are going to solve this problem.”

At the moment, the prospects of some state shutdown seem high.

From the republican side, representatives of the Trump administration still did not want to offer any main concessions.

It seems that they believe that the democrats, since the party makes requirements in exchange for holding the government open, bear the main severity of the public – as in some past stops.

Meanwhile, the Democrats believe that their desire to maintain subsidies for health insurance is popular.

Moreover, their leaders of the Congress provoked the anger of left -wing activists to retreat during the last budget in March. Many democrats crave a greater struggle this time, and financing of the government is one of the few places where their party has some levers.

What stands out in this current confrontation is the position of the White House.

In the past, long shutdowns were usually considered politically dangerous, making it difficult to everyday life of both voters and images of legislators and the president.

But this time, the Trump administration seems to be more than glad to close most of the US government for a long period. In fact, officials threatened to use a stop to determine “insignificant” workers, who then could be released forever.

In addition, after previous stops, state operations mainly returned to the normal level, and personnel and cost levels are mainly returned to previous levels after the confrontation is resolved.

However, over the past nine months, the Trump administration has reduced expenses and pushed the workers from work, checking the boundaries of the presidential authorities. Closing can allow the administration to accelerate its mass contractions.

Not the whole government will turn off if the Congress does not accept the bill on expenses.

It is expected that the protection of borders, medical care at home, law enforcement agencies and the fight against aviation will continue to work during a stop.

Although social security checks and Medicare will still be sent, checking benefits and issuing cards may stop.

As a rule, when stopping, the main employees continue as usual – some of them are without payment of time – but civil servants believe that insignificant are temporarily placed on unpaid leave. In the past, these employees then paid retrospectively.

This means that services such as the food aid program financed by the federal preschool institution, the issuance of student loans, food inspections and operations in national parks are expected to be reduced or closed.

There may also be travel delays if the confrontation is delayed, and unpaid workers will cease to appear, and a long shutdown can also have a secondary effect on the US economy.

It is quite common over the past 50 years.

During the first term, Trump was three, including the longest in history in 36 days, which ended in January 2019. This was caused by disagreements about financing the wall on the border with Mexico.

Congress Budgetary Office (CBO) According to estimates, this reduced economic production About 11 billion dollars, including $ 3 billion, which have never recovered.

Another Republican Ronald Reagan oversee eight disconnects during his presidency in the 1980s – although everyone was relatively short.

Stops on budgets are almost unique to US policy.

In accordance with the US system, various branches of government should reach an agreement on expenditures before they can become law.

In most countries, budget votes become a vote of trust in the government itself. But since the United States has equal and often divided branches of government, this is not so.