Duke vs. Texas prediction, odds, best bets: College basketball picks from proven computer model

While Monday marked the start of the 2025-26 college basketball season, several teams are waiting until Tuesday to begin, including a pair of power conference programs. No. 6 Duke And Texas will meet at the 2025 Dick Vitale Invitational, which will be the event in its first year. Duke went 35-4 last season, winning both the regular season and the ACC Tournament before being eliminated in the Final Four. A year ago, Texas went 19-16 and lost in First Four March Madness before replacing Rodney Terry with Sean Miller as head coach.

Tipoff at 8:45 pm ET from the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. Duke has won all three previous matchups between the programs. The Blue Devils are 8.5-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Texas odds, according to SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 153.5. Before you decide between Texas and Duke, Check out the college basketball projections and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model..

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The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. He finished last season with a 229-169 (+1805) overall record. basketball college selection starting in 2023. Anyone who follows him college basketball betting advice in bookmakers and further betting apps one could see huge profits.

Now the model has simulated Duke vs Texas 10,000 times and just released his coveted men's college basketball picks and betting tips. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selection. Here are a few men's college basketball odds and men's basketball betting lines for Texas vs. Duke:

Why Texas Can Cover

The Longhorns returned a pair of double-digit scorers. Jordan Pope (11 points per game) and Tram Brand (10.6), adding a couple of others. Lassina Traore transfer from Long Beach State, where he was a two-time Big West qualifier and twice led the conference in rebounds. The Longhorns also released Matas Vokietaitis from FAAwhere last season the Lithuanian was named the American Conference Rookie of the Year, averaging 10.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and converting 67.7% of his field goal attempts.

Perhaps the biggest change for Texas is the addition of coach Sean Miller, who previously worked at Xavier and Arizona. He is a four-time winner of his conference's Coach of the Year award and is known for getting the most out of his players, especially on offense. This is one area where Texas could challenge Duke, as the Blue Devils lost two ACC all-around guards to the NBA Draft, one of whom was AP Player of the Year in Cooper Flagg. Find out which team to support at SportsLine.

Why Duke Can Cover

Duke simply reloaded after losing Flagg and four other players to the pros as the team ranks No. 1 in the freshman class, according to 247Sports. This class is highlighted Cameron Boozerwho is the third overall recruit and one of only four athletes to ever win the Gatorade National Player of the Year award twice in high school. His twin Kayden Boozeris the No. 4 point guard in the class, and Duke also acquired two more 5-star prospects in Nicholas Khamenei And Lady Sarr.

Duke's roster isn't all freshmen, as it returns four rotation players from last year's team that made it to the Final Four. A year ago, John Scheyer's team played 67.7% of their games, and since 2023, the Blue Devils have also played two-thirds of their games against non-conference opponents. Additionally, Duke can take solace in the fact that Texas has had a tough time stepping up in the competition, going 0-5 against top-10 ranked teams last season. Find out which team to support at SportsLine.

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How to pick Duke vs. Texas

The SportsLine model simulated the Texas-Duke game 10,000 times and totaled 153 points. The model also claims that one side strikes nearly 60% of the time. You can visit SportsLine to see men's college basketball picks..

So who will win Duke vs. Texas and which side of the spread lands in nearly 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Texas vs. Duke game stretches back, all from an advanced model that brought in more than $1,800 on its college basketball picks last season.and find out.